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Inflation Expectations

Market inflation expectations fell 10 bps this week

· Automatic alert from live data

10-year breakeven inflation, % — recent trend

The 10-year breakeven inflation rate (what bond markets expect inflation to average over the next decade) fell from 2.3% to 2.2% over the past week (as of 2026-11-10).

10-year breakeven inflation, %, 10 Nov 2026

2.20%

Recent readings

DateReadingChange since
Now (Nov 10)2.20%—
1 day ago2.22%▼ -0.02 pts
1 week ago2.30%▼ -0.10 pts
1 month ago2.33%▼ -0.13 pts
3 months ago2.26%▼ -0.06 pts
Why this matters

Breakeven inflation is what bond investors are actually betting inflation will average — real money, not a forecast. A sharp shift means the market is repricing how much of today's debt will be inflated away.

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More recent alerts

DateAlertChart
Rates · 10 Nov 202610y-2y yield curve flattened by 7 bpsThe 10-year/2-year Treasury spread flattened by 7 bps in a day, from 0.32 to 0.25 (as of 2026-11-10).
Currencies · 9 Nov 2026US dollar down 1.24% vs. the New Zealand dollarThe US dollar fell 1.24% against the New Zealand dollar on 2026-11-09 (USD/NZD now 1.7816).
Gold & Bitcoin · 9 Nov 2026Gold up 4.1% this weekGold has gained 4.1% over the past week and is now at $4,110/oz.
Gold & Bitcoin · 9 Nov 2026Bitcoin falls below $75,000Bitcoin falls below $75,000 and is now at $73,760.
Rates · 8 Nov 2026United Kingdom central bank raised its policy rateUnited Kingdom's central bank raised its policy rate on 2026-11-05: from 3.75% to 4% (+0.25 pts).

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Generated automatically from public data sources when a tracked threshold is crossed. Educational content only — not financial advice.